We have conducted an in-depth review of the terms of all NHL player contracts that are 6 years or longer in length. That’s 58 contracts in all.
We looked at the age of the player at the start of the contract, the total dollar value of the contract, the duration of the contract, the yearly cap hit, the player’s age at the end of the contract and the number of throwaway years.
Why you ask?
The goal was to better understand the NHL contract landscape and just how many contracts are bad contracts. By bad contracts, we mean contracts that are designed to artificially push down the yearly cap hit (thereby constituting a circumvention of the CBA).
Reviewing these 58 contracts helped us better understand how common it is for contracts to cross the line, whether good contracts are in fact the norm and whether bad contracts are unique enough that they put other teams at a competitive disadvantage.
Our findings, to say the least, we’re pretty interesting.
Table Summary of 58 Contracts
Here’s a table summary of the results of our investigation:
Review of NHL Contracts Lasting 6 Years or More |
Name |
Age at Start of Contract |
Contract Amt |
Years |
Cap Hit |
Throwaway Yrs |
Age at end of Ct |
Marian Hossa |
30 |
$62.5 million |
12 |
$5 million |
4 |
42 |
Marc Savard |
33 |
$28.5 million |
7 |
$4.007 million |
3 |
40 |
Johan Franzen |
29 |
$43.5 million |
11 |
$3.955 million |
3 |
40 |
Roberto Luongo |
31 |
$64 million |
12 |
$5.333 million |
3 |
43 |
Henrik Zetterberg |
28 |
$73 million |
12 |
$6.083 million |
3 |
40 |
Daniel Briere |
29 |
$52 million |
8 |
$6.5 million |
2 |
37 |
Chris Pronger |
35 |
$34.45 million |
7 |
$4.921 million |
2 |
42 |
Vincent Lecavalier |
29 |
$85 million |
11 |
$7.727 million |
2 |
40 |
Mattias Ohlund |
32 |
$25.25 million |
7 |
$3.607 million |
2 |
39 |
Duncan Keith |
26 |
$70.51 million |
12 |
$5.551 million |
0 |
38 |
Thomas Vanek |
23 |
$50 million |
7 |
$7.143 million |
0 |
30 |
Derek Roy |
24 |
$24 million |
6 |
$4 million |
0 |
30 |
Eric Staal |
24 |
$57.75 million |
7 |
$8.25 million |
0 |
31 |
Cam Ward |
26 |
$37.8 million |
6 |
$6.3 million |
0 |
32 |
Rene Bourque |
28 |
$20 million |
6 |
$3.333 million |
0 |
34 |
Brian Campbell |
28 |
$57.12 million |
8 |
$7.14 million |
0 |
36 |
Rick Nash |
26 |
$62.4 million |
8 |
$7.8 million |
0 |
34 |
Loui Eriksson |
24 |
$25.6 million |
6 |
$4.267 million |
0 |
30 |
Pavel Datsyuk |
28 |
$46.9 million |
7 |
$6.7 million |
0 |
35 |
Shawn Horcoff |
30 |
$33 million |
6 |
$5.5 million |
0 |
36 |
Ales Hemsky |
22 |
$24.6 million |
6 |
$4.1 million |
0 |
28 |
Tom Gilbert |
25 |
$24 million |
6 |
$4 million |
0 |
31 |
Ryan Whitney |
24 |
$24 million |
6 |
$4 million |
0 |
30 |
David Booth |
24 |
$25.5 million |
6 |
$4.25 million |
0 |
30 |
Rostislav Olesz |
22 |
$18.75 million |
6 |
$3.125 million |
0 |
28 |
Stephen Weiss |
24 |
$18.6 million |
6 |
$3.1 million |
0 |
30 |
Anze Kopitar |
21 |
$47.6 million |
7 |
$6.8 million |
0 |
28 |
Dustin Brown |
23 |
$19.05 million |
6 |
$3.175 million |
0 |
29 |
Martin Havlat |
28 |
$30 million |
6 |
$5 million |
0 |
34 |
Mikko Koivu (extension starting 2011) |
28 |
$47.25 million |
7 |
$6.75 million |
0 |
35 |
Nick Schultz |
25 |
$21 million |
6 |
$3.5 million |
0 |
31 |
Scott Gomez |
27 |
$51.5 million |
7 |
$7.357 million |
0 |
34 |
Tomas Plekanec |
27 |
$30 million |
6 |
$5 million |
0 |
33 |
Martin Erat |
26 |
$31.5 million |
7 |
$4.5 million |
0 |
33 |
David Legwand |
27 |
$27 million |
6 |
$4.5 million |
0 |
33 |
Patrik Elias |
30 |
$42 million |
7 |
$6 million |
0 |
37 |
Danius Zubrus |
29 |
$20.4 million |
6 |
$3.4 million |
0 |
35 |
Anton Volchenkov |
28 |
$25.5 million |
6 |
$4.25 million |
0 |
34 |
Colin White |
28 |
$18 million |
6 |
$3 million |
0 |
34 |
Martin Brodeur |
34 |
$31.2 million |
6 |
$5.2 million |
0 |
40 |
Rick Dipietro |
24 |
$67.5 million |
15 |
$4.5 million |
0 |
39 |
Wade Redden |
31 |
$39 million |
6 |
$6.5 million |
0 |
37 |
Henrik Lundqvist |
26 |
$41.25 million |
6 |
$6.875 million |
0 |
32 |
Jason Spezza |
25 |
$49 million |
7 |
$7 million |
0 |
32 |
Mike Richards |
23 |
$69 million |
12 |
$5.75 million |
0 |
35 |
Scott Hartnell |
25 |
$25.2 million |
6 |
$4.2 million |
0 |
31 |
Kimmo Timonen |
32 |
$38 million |
6 |
$6.333 million |
0 |
38 |
Brooks Orpik |
27 |
$22.5 million |
6 |
$3.75 million |
0 |
33 |
Marc-Andre Fleury |
23 |
$35 million |
7 |
$5 million |
0 |
30 |
Dany Heatley |
27 |
$45 million |
6 |
$7.5 million |
0 |
33 |
Dan Boyle |
31 |
$40 million |
6 |
$6.667 million |
0 |
37 |
Ryan Malone |
28 |
$31.5 million |
7 |
$4.5 million |
0 |
35 |
Dion Phaneuf |
23 |
$39 million |
6 |
$6.5 million |
0 |
29 |
Ryan Kesler |
25 |
$30 million |
6 |
$5 million |
0 |
31 |
Dan Hamhuis |
27 |
$27 million |
6 |
$4.5 million |
0 |
33 |
Keith Ballard |
26 |
$25.2 million |
6 |
$4.2 million |
0 |
32 |
Alexander Ovechkin |
22 |
$124 million |
13 |
$9.538 million |
0 |
35 |
Nicklas Backstrom |
22 |
$67 million |
10 |
$6.7 million |
0 |
32 |
Standard of Review
When assessing contracts, we focused Richard Bloch's Kovalchuk decision, which in my view, clearly sets out the standard for an NHL contract.
Specifically, as per Bloch's landmark decision, the NHL will look at each contract individually and analyse their different components to asses whether the aggregate effect of these various factors equals a circumvention. No single factor will be determinative of a circumvention; rather it is the combined effect of the various factors in a contract that must be considered as a whole to determine whether a contract is a good one.
As I previously reported on this blog, in the case of Kovalchuk, the arbitrator found that his age at the end of the contract (44) together with the dramatic diveback after 11 years, the significant frontloading of the contract, the relatively minimal payout in the last 6 years and the transition from a "No Move" to a "No Trade" had the combined effect of supporting a finding of circumvention.
Since we can’t review the 58 contracts, we don’t know whether the contracts have material transitions from a No Move to a No Trade. However, as per Bloch's decision, this was only one factor supporting a finding circumvention. Bloch would have made the same finding even if the Kovlachuk contract didn’t have this transition clause.
Findings
Of the 58 contracts that were signed for 6 plus years, only 9 included throwaway years - or about 15%. It is no wonder that both leafs GM Brian Burke and Caps owner Ted Leonis complained that the Kovalchuk contract upset the competitive balance and didn’t create an even playing field (
please see Burke, Leonsis Not Fans of Kovalchuk Contract).
In keeping with our standard of review, the following contracts are potentially problematic as they have throwaway years: Marian Hossa, Chris Pronger, Marc Savard, Henrik Zetterberg, Daniel Briere, Vincent Lecavalier, Roberto Luongo, Mattias Ohlund and Johan Franzen.
Of course, the Savard and Luongo contracts are under investigation.
The contract of Duncan Keith was close, but just fell short of being problematic. Close though. In the case of Ohlund, it was also a close call. The tipping point was the drop from $5 million to $2 million in just two years, which was too significant to ignore.
Some of the divebacks are quite dramatic, particularly in the cases of Hossa, Pronger and Savard. The yearly breakdown of these 10 contracts is as follows:
(a) Marian Hossa: $7.9, 7.9, 7.9, 7.9, 7.9, 7.9, 7.9, 4.0, 1.0, 1.0, 0.75, 0.75
(b) Chris Pronger: $7.6, 7.6, 7.2, 7.0, 4.0, 0.525, 0.525
(c) Marc Savard: $7.0, 7.0, 6.5, 5, 1.5, 0.525, 0.525
(d) Henrik Zetterberg: $7.4, 7.75, 7.75, 7.75, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 7.0, 3.35, 1.0, 1.0
(e) Daniel Briere: $10.0, 8.0, 8.0, 7.0, 7.0, 7.0, 3.0, 2.0
(f) Vincent Lecavalier: $10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 10.0, 8.5, 4.0, 1.5, 1.0
(g) Roberto Luongo:$10.0, 6.716, 6.714, 6.714, 6.714, 6.714, 6.714, 6.714, 3.382, 1.618, 1.0, 1.0
(h) Johan Franzen: $5.5, 5.0, 5.25, 5.25, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 3.5, 2.0, 1.0, 1.0
(i) Mattias Ohlund: $4.0, 4.0, 5.5, 5.0, 3.75, 2.0, 1.0
(j) Duncan Keith: $8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 7.66, 7.6, 7.5, 6.0, 5.0, 4.5, 3.5, 2.65, 2.1
Also interesting is that teams havelooked to reduce the cap hit by giving non-star players longer term deals. Tom Gilbert got a 6 year/$24 million deal, while Nick Schultz got 6 years at $21 million. The list goes on: Scott Hartnell, Brooks Orpik, Keith Ballard, Ryan Malone, Rene Bourque Danius Zubrus. Before the cap was in place, long term deals for these types of players was not only unusual but non-existent.
Given the length of these contracts, many teams will come to regret the signings. Expect the contractual landscape to change over the next 10 years as teams make adjustments. Which brings me to Rick Dipietro.
Dipietro Contract
The Rick Dipietro deal has not been included as a bad contract. It’s a 15 year deal that pays the Isles goalie $4.5 million every year of the deal. It has no dramatic diveback and was signed when Dipietro was 24 years old. While it’s a long deal, and a bad one at that, it wasn’t a case of circumvention since it didn’t look to artificially push the cap hit down.
Ovechkin & Competitive Balance
There are of course good deals. One is the 13 year/$124 million deal signed by Alex Ovechkin. The cap hit on the deal is $9.5 million, and the winger makes more in the last 7 years of the contract ($10.5 million/year) than in the first 6 ($9 million/year). Getting back to competitive balance, ask yourself this - is it fair that the Capitals have a yearly cap hit of $9.5 million over the 13 years of the Overchkin contract, while the Devils’ cap hit is just $6 million? Of course not.
If you have any comments or questions, use the Comments Section. We would love to hear from you.